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Motorsports Industry Pandemic Overproduction Crisis | Deals on New Motorcycles

Key Takeaways

Why Did the Motorsports Industry Boom During the Pandemic?

The period from 2020 to 2023 was a golden era for the motorsports and powersports industries. As the pandemic confined people to their homes, they sought ways to safely escape and explore the outdoors. Powersports vehicles—motorcycles, ATVs, UTVs, and snowmobiles—became the perfect outlets for adventure while maintaining social distance. For those who wanted to explore new trails or travel farther, reliable motorcycle shipping services offered a convenient solution, making it easy to transport their bikes safely to distant locations.

Interest rates were historically low during this time, making financing these often expensive toys more affordable. Consumer demand soared, and manufacturers, caught off guard by the sudden surge, ramped up production to keep up with the orders.

With supply chains strained and consumers desperate to spend, companies selling motorcycles and off-road vehicles were seeing profits like never before. Dealerships couldn’t keep inventory on their floors, and manufacturers were scrambling to meet demand.

In short, it was a time of explosive growth, and powersports companies enjoyed an unprecedented boom.

What Happened After the Pandemic Ended?

However, as the world moved past the peak of the pandemic, the landscape changed dramatically. Interest rates rose sharply as governments tried to combat inflation, making loans for large, discretionary purchases less attractive. At the same time, many consumers had already satisfied their desires for new powersports equipment, and the economic uncertainty that followed the pandemic made others hesitant to commit to big-ticket items.

Showroom full of ATV's for sale.The post-pandemic world brought with it a sobering realization: the high demand of the pandemic era wasn’t sustainable. Powersports companies had increased production to meet the spike in orders, but as demand fell, they were left with significant overproduction. Dealerships, once starved for inventory, now found their lots overfilled with machines that weren’t moving.

How Did Overproduction Lead to Inventory Issues?

As a result of overproduction during the pandemic, manufacturers and dealerships now find themselves grappling with bloated inventories. Many companies had anticipated the elevated demand to continue longer than it did, leading to an excess of high-priced motorcycles, ATVs, and other powersport vehicles.

Inventory Levels vs. Consumer Demand (2020-2024)

Year Consumer Demand (in millions) Inventory Levels (in millions)
2020 1.5 1.0
2021 2.0 1.5
2022 1.8 2.2
2023 1.2 3.0
2024 (forecast) 1.0 3.5

Source: Motorcycle Industry Outlook 2024: A Post-Pandemic Perspective, Motorcycle News, 2024.

This disparity has led to financial strain for manufacturers who are paying to store, transport, and discount these unsold products. Manufacturers are now faced with the need to cut back on production and offer steep discounts or incentives to help move inventory. While this could be beneficial for consumers looking for a deal, it’s a troubling sign for the long-term health of the industry.

What Are the Financial Impacts on Powersports Manufacturers?

The financial repercussions of this overproduction and subsequent slowdown in sales are already being felt across the industry. Companies like Polaris, KTM’s parent company Pierer Mobility AG, and Harley-Davidson have reported significant declines in profits.

Profit Declines for Major Powersport Manufacturers (2022 vs. 2023)

Manufacturer 2022 Profits (in millions) 2023 Profits (in millions) Percentage Decline
Polaris $300 $54 -82%
Pierer Mobility (KTM) $250 $130 -48%
Harley-Davidson $450 $300 -33%

Source:
Polaris Reports Third Quarter 2023 Results, Polaris Inc., 2023;
Pierer Mobility AG Earnings Report 2023, Pierer Mobility AG, 2023;
Harley-Davidson Financial Report Q3 2023, Harley-Davidson, 2023.

As the table shows, some of the largest players in the industry have suffered major financial declines. Rising interest rates have made financing less attractive for consumers, while inflated inventories have driven up operational costs for manufacturers. To cope, many companies are cutting costs through layoffs, restructuring, and reducing production.

Harley-Davidson, in particular, is navigating significant challenges. Recently, the company lowered its full-year revenue forecast due to weakening demand in North America, its largest market. Persistent inflation and high borrowing costs have dampened consumer interest in big-ticket items, which has led to a 10% drop in Harley’s retail sales in the region. In response, Harley has taken steps to align its production with softer market demand, scaling back shipments in the latter half of 2024.

Additionally, Harley-Davidson revised its annual projections, now anticipating global shipments to fall between 16% and 17%, a substantial adjustment from its previous forecast of a 7% to 10% decline. Expected retail sales have also been downgraded, with the company now forecasting a 6% to 8% decrease compared to its previous expectation of flat to slightly positive growth. Despite these hurdles, Harley’s shift to focusing on its higher-margin Touring models helped the company exceed profit expectations in the third quarter. However, the company faces mounting pressure to balance consumer demand with production levels, and any long-term recovery remains uncertain.

For example, Pierer Mobility AG recently announced it would reduce its board of directors from six members to two, while fully revoking its revenue and debt projections for 2024. Polaris has also revealed plans to reduce dealer inventory by 15-20% by year-end.

What Could the Future Hold for the Motorsports Industry?

The future of the motorsports and powersports industries remains uncertain, but several potential outcomes could occur depending on how manufacturers and consumers react.

Best-Case Scenario: Market Rebound and Stabilization

In the best-case scenario, the economy stabilizes, and interest rates decrease, making large purchases more accessible to consumers. Manufacturers could slowly work through their excess inventory, offering discounts and incentives. The industry as a whole would adjust to a new, lower level of demand and shift to more sustainable production rates.

Mid-Range Scenario: A Slow and Uneven Recovery

In this scenario, economic uncertainty continues for some time. While demand may never return to pandemic levels, it begins to recover slowly. Manufacturers would need to offer deeper discounts to move bloated inventories, likely eating into profits for the next few years. Some smaller manufacturers may struggle, leading to mergers or acquisitions, while larger brands weather the storm with leaner operations.

Worst-Case Scenario: Prolonged Decline and Restructuring

In the worst-case scenario, the powersports industry faces a prolonged downturn. High interest rates and sluggish consumer spending on discretionary items could force manufacturers to cut even deeper. This may involve layoffs, operational restructuring, and possibly even exit from certain market segments.

The Silver Lining: Great Deals for Consumers

While the current challenges in the powersports industry may be tough on manufacturers, they create a unique opportunity for consumers. Dealerships across the country are eager to reduce their overstocked inventories, offering fantastic deals on motorcycles, ATVs, UTVs, and snowmobiles. From cash incentives to significant discounts, buyers have a wide range of options as manufacturers clear out excess stock.

KTM, for example, is offering strategic promotions to attract buyers and manage inventory. Through their KTM POWER DEALS, consumers can secure financing rates as low as 4.99% APR for up to 60 months on select 2023 and 2024 models, covering popular off-road and street bikes. They’re also running a limited-time KTM PowerWear & PowerParts promotion, which provides up to $1,250 in credit toward KTM gear, parts, or accessories on certain models, allowing customers to add a personal touch to their new bike.

Harley-Davidson has also joined the wave of incentives with exclusive year-end savings. Through December 2024, Harley enthusiasts can find discounts ranging from $500 to $3,000 on select 2022, 2023, and 2024 models at participating dealerships. These offers vary by model and make it easier for riders to bring home a Harley-Davidson at a reduced price, helping the company manage inventory while providing an attractive deal for buyers.

Polaris, too, is enticing snowmobile buyers with impressive rebates on select 2022-2024 models, available through the end of December 2024 at participating U.S. dealers. In addition to rebates, Polaris is offering financing options as low as 1.99% for 36 months on certain models and a two-year extended warranty on select 2022-2025 snowmobiles. These promotions allow Polaris fans to take advantage of lower costs and added peace of mind.

With dealerships eager to move inventory, the demand for vehicle shipping options is on the rise. For buyers who find the perfect deal at a distant dealership, or for dealers needing to move excess stock, shipping services provide a convenient solution. Learn how motorcycle freight shipping can support these needs and simplify transportation.

For the motorcycle shipping industry, this influx of inventory represents a promising opportunity. As dealerships offload new units and consumers take advantage of discounts, the need for motorcycle transportation is expected to grow. Shipping companies have a chance to expand their services, catering to both individual buyers and dealers needing to relocate excess inventory.

If you’ve been considering a new ride, now may be the perfect time. With a variety of high-end motorcycles, rugged off-road vehicles, and snowmobiles available at excellent prices, the post-pandemic overproduction crisis has made extraordinary deals possible.

Conclusion: An Optimistic Outlook for the Powersports Industry

While the current situation in the motorsports and powersports industries is challenging, it’s not without hope. The industry has shown resilience in the past, and with the right adjustments, it can emerge stronger. For consumers, this period offers a unique opportunity to get high-quality machines at discounted prices.

image of a motorcycle on a skid inside a fully enclosed transport truck
Enclosed Motorcycle Shipping

Additionally, the current market conditions open up the possibility of finding exceptional deals at dealerships nationwide. Enthusiasts can now explore a wider range of options beyond their local area. With Motorcycle Shippers’ convenient door-to-door service, you can purchase the motorcycle you’ve been eyeing from any dealership across the country and have it delivered straight to your home. This seamless shipping solution makes it easier than ever to take advantage of nationwide discounts without the hassle of distance.

As manufacturers adapt to the new economic landscape, there’s potential for innovation and long-term growth. The key for companies will be to adjust to the changing market, streamline operations, and focus on producing the vehicles that riders truly want. Despite the bumps in the road, the passion for motorsports remains strong, and the future of the industry holds promise.

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If you’re ready to take your motorcycle distribution to the next level, get a quote today and see how Motorcycle Shippers can help you optimize your operations. With their expertise and experience, you can be confident that your bikes will reach their destinations quickly, safely, and efficiently, allowing you to focus on what you do best—growing your business.

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Posted By

Clint Lawrence
Clint Lawrence, founder of Motorcycle Shippers. Helping give riders more freedom to enjoy the bikes they love.